{"id":173401,"date":"2023-01-06T08:58:58","date_gmt":"2023-01-06T15:58:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inbusinessphx.com\/?p=173401"},"modified":"2023-01-06T08:58:58","modified_gmt":"2023-01-06T15:58:58","slug":"pending-sales-drop-to-lowest-level-since-at-least-2015-prices-fell-2-4-in-metro-phoenix","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/?p=173401","title":{"rendered":"Pending Home Sales Drop to Lowest Level since at least 2015, Prices Fell 2.4% in Metro Phoenix"},"content":{"rendered":"<header>\n<div>Pending U.S. home sales dropped 32% year over year to their lowest level since at least 2015 during the four weeks ending January 1, according to a new <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fnews%2Fhousing-market-update-pending-home-sales-drop&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=report&amp;index=1&amp;md5=c672f3b236da9d72ec02d9024a1d15f1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">report<\/a> from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Redfin<\/a>, the technology-powered real estate brokerage.<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"bw-release-body \">\n<div class=\"bw-release-story\">\n<p>The biggest declines were in pandemic homebuying hotspots Las Vegas, Phoenix and Austin, which each saw pending sales plummet more than 50%. The housing market fizzled out at the end of 2022 due to 6%-plus mortgage rates, a looming recession, record-low new listings, extreme winter weather and the typical holiday slowdown.<\/p>\n<p>Signals of early-stage demand are mixed. Redfin\u2019s seasonally adjusted Homebuyer Demand Index\u2013a measure of tour requests and other buying services from Redfin agents\u2013was up 8% from two weeks earlier. Mortgage-purchase applications fell about 12%, though the double-digit drop was partly due to severe late-December storms hitting nearly every part of the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTwo categories of buyers are starting their search right now: First-timers hoping prices and competition are more manageable than they have been over the last few years, and returning buyers who took a break after losing out on multiple homes during the pandemic bidding-war frenzy,\u201d said Seattle Redfin agent Shoshana Godwin. \u201cThey should be able to take their time and find a home for a slightly lower price than last year, but the market will likely become more competitive over the next few months. I expect new listings to remain scarce as homeowners hold onto low interest rates while the pool of determined buyers circle the few homes that are available.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>Home prices fell from a year earlier in 19 of the 50 most populous U.S. metros<\/b><\/p>\n<p>The typical U.S. home sold for $350,000 during the four weeks ending January 1. That\u2019s up just 0.5% from a year earlier, slightly slower than the 0.7% growth we saw at the beginning of the pandemic, when the market nearly ground to a halt. Prices were down 10% from the June peak. On a metro level, home-sale prices fell year over year in 19 of the 50 most populous U.S. metros during the four weeks ending January 1. By comparison, just 10 metros saw price declines a month earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Prices fell 10.4% year over year in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F17151%2FCA%2FSan-Francisco&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=San+Francisco&amp;index=3&amp;md5=15c9341631330bc56e7cc36a79893e8f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">San Francisco<\/a>, 6% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F16409%2FCA%2FSacramento&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Sacramento&amp;index=4&amp;md5=2a349719d6bd0b42e471c70faff861f8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Sacramento<\/a>, 5.6% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F17420%2FCA%2FSan-Jose&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=San+Jose%2C+CA&amp;index=5&amp;md5=2ca87f552a6141d81aecdaf252700fad\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">San Jose, CA<\/a>, 5.4% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F11203%2FCA%2FLos-Angeles&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Los+Angeles&amp;index=6&amp;md5=8a3545536c97b288372673e9f1454ae4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Los Angeles<\/a>, 4.6% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F5665%2FMI%2FDetroit&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Detroit&amp;index=7&amp;md5=9803602ea0fb833dbde5409f25937612\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Detroit<\/a>, 4.4% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F13654%2FCA%2FOakland&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Oakland%2C+CA&amp;index=8&amp;md5=f5f8dd59b71e35cee7a5536a915cae5b\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Oakland, CA<\/a>, 4.2% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F16163%2FWA%2FSeattle&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Seattle&amp;index=9&amp;md5=3f5885f57e3cc6d4bf75fb27e7091ab1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Seattle<\/a>, 3.9% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F15702%2FPA%2FPittsburgh&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Pittsburgh&amp;index=10&amp;md5=89aa0ef6a5a8a2d80914624a780a98d1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Pittsburgh<\/a>, 2.9% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F30818%2FTX%2FAustin&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Austin&amp;index=11&amp;md5=f45d8de9afdff09703fd8f1d92ae8a30\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Austin<\/a>, 2.8% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F30749%2FNY%2FNew-York&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=New+York&amp;index=12&amp;md5=182dbb26c2814ba88b3210fe9f2474e7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">New York<\/a>, 2.4% in <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F14240%2FAZ%2FPhoenix&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Phoenix&amp;index=13&amp;md5=3e4d6385aecb2ca3a9410b2544eb3534\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Phoenix<\/a> <\/strong>and 2.2% in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F1826%2FMA%2FBoston&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Boston&amp;index=14&amp;md5=c9b1beacce936ce090b64b669780f8a4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Boston<\/a>. They fell 2% or less in <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F517%2FCA%2FAnaheim&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Anaheim%2C+CA&amp;index=15&amp;md5=b74e18c19cefa19edd927ca632fdcc75\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Anaheim, CA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F29470%2FIL%2FChicago&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Chicago&amp;index=16&amp;md5=445fbdbfab1f0c7b817044ae86f57db0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Chicago<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F15935%2FCA%2FRiverside&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Riverside%2C+CA&amp;index=17&amp;md5=61acc39143fa5c3657326e2fe7a91d8d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Riverside, CA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F12839%2FDC%2FWashington-DC&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Washington%2C+D.C.&amp;index=18&amp;md5=2b36d6a286ec5a078a6e9dbd00b9fedf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Washington, D.C.<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F16904%2FCA%2FSan-Diego&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=San+Diego&amp;index=19&amp;md5=82381d697207f37283661bb24c41e2a8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">San Diego<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F30772%2FOR%2FPortland&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Portland%2C+OR&amp;index=20&amp;md5=17287ff51754f8bbebeb59f7e6d1bc60\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Portland, OR<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/cts.businesswire.com\/ct\/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fcity%2F13136%2FNJ%2FNewark&amp;esheet=53176637&amp;newsitemid=20230105006021&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=Newark%2C+NJ&amp;index=21&amp;md5=c9115ce844b6f64e06ee87558dbe641e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" shape=\"rect\">Newark, NJ<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This marks the biggest year-over-year drop for San Francisco prices since at least 2015.<\/p>\n<p><b>Leading indicators of homebuying activity:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul class=\"bwlistdisc\">\n<li>For the week ending January 5, 30-year mortgage rates ticked up to 6.48%. The daily average was 6.41% on January 5.<\/li>\n<li>Mortgage purchase applications during the week ending December 30 were down roughly 12% from two weeks earlier, seasonally adjusted. Purchase applications were down 42% from a year earlier.<\/li>\n<li>The seasonally adjusted Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index was up 6% from a week earlier and up 10% from a month earlier during the four weeks ending January 1. It was down 20% from a year earlier.<\/li>\n<li>Google searches for \u201chomes for sale\u201d started to rise from the low reached in November during the week ending December 31, but they were down about 33% from a year earlier.<\/li>\n<li>Touring activity as of December 29 was down 63% from the start of the year, compared to a 54% decrease at the same time last year, according to home tour technology company ShowingTime. The significant declines are likely due to the holidays.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Key housing market takeaways for 400+ U.S. metro areas:<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Unless otherwise noted, this data covers the four-week period ending January 1. Redfin\u2019s weekly housing market data goes back through 2015.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"bwlistdisc\">\n<li>The median home sale price was $350,000, up just 0.5% year over year, the slowest price growth on record and the third consecutive four-week period of price growth under 1%.<\/li>\n<li>The median asking price of newly listed homes was $346,535, up 3.1% year over year.<\/li>\n<li>The monthly mortgage payment on the median-asking-price home was $2,254 at the current 6.48% mortgage rate. That\u2019s down slightly from a week earlier and down $253 from the October peak. Monthly mortgage payments are up 36.2% from a year ago.<\/li>\n<li>Pending home sales were down 31.7% year over year, the 11th straight four-week period of pending sales declining more than 30%.<\/li>\n<li>Among the 50 most populous U.S. metros, pending sales fell the most from a year earlier in Las Vegas (-61.9%), Phoenix (-56.7%), Austin (-54%), Jacksonville, FL (-53.8%) and Nashville, TN (-51.5%).<\/li>\n<li>New listings of homes for sale were down 22.4% from a year earlier, dropping to their lowest level on record.<\/li>\n<li>Active listings (the number of homes listed for sale at any point during the period) were up 18.6% from a year earlier, the biggest annual increase since at least 2015.<\/li>\n<li>Months of supply\u2014a measure of the balance between supply and demand, calculated by dividing the number of active listings by closed sales\u2014was 3.4 months, up slightly from a week earlier and up from 1.8 months a year earlier.<\/li>\n<li>28% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within the first two weeks on the market, down from 35% a year earlier and the lowest share since January 2020.<\/li>\n<li>Homes that sold were on the market for a median of 42 days, up nearly two weeks from 30 days a year earlier and up from the record low of 18 days set in May.<\/li>\n<li>22% of homes sold above their final list price, down from 40% a year earlier and the lowest level since March 2020.<\/li>\n<li>On average, 3.8% of homes for sale each week had a price drop, down sharply from 4.7% a week earlier and 5.7% a month earlier.<\/li>\n<li>The average sale-to-list price ratio, which measures how close homes are selling to their final asking prices, fell to 98% from 100.1% a year earlier. That\u2019s the lowest level since March 2020.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>To view the full report, including charts, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/housing-market-update-pending-home-sales-drop\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pending U.S. home sales dropped 32% year over year to their lowest level since at least 2015 during the four weeks ending January 1, according to a new report from Redfin, the technology-powered real estate brokerage. The biggest declines were in pandemic homebuying hotspots Las Vegas, Phoenix and Austin, which each saw pending sales plummet [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-173401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy-trends","tag-featured-stories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173401","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=173401"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173401\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=173401"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=173401"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.inbusinessphx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=173401"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}